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natmaka a day ago

>> The money Germany "wasted" on renewables brought down prices a lot,

> It massively increased the price of electricity in Germany.

We all have to consider the total cost on the long term. I analyzed it for France. I wrote it in French, sorry, but AFAIK software does not distort it: https://sites.google.com/view/electricitedefrance/accueil#h....

> And it did remarkably little for CO₂ emissions

Nope: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/carbon-intensity-electric...

> massively increased our dependence on cheap Russian Gas thus emboldening Putin

True, sadly, however consider that nuclear didn't save France which is even more dependent (while less industrialized). French ahead: https://sites.google.com/view/avenirdunucleraire/transition-...

> Had we spend the same money on nuclear power plants

France ("Flamanville-3" reactor) and the US (Vogtle, VS Summer) did so, and it failed.

> Except we would have found it difficult to spend that much on nuclear power plants, because even at the price of the messed up EPR prototypes, the same money would have bought us over 50 reactors.

Once more: source? The most serious allegations published state about official investments previsions until 2050, and not only for renewables (grid maintenance is a)

> don't make every new one different like we used to do

... therefore if a potentially dangerous defect is discovered you will have to shut them down all. No more juice, yay! It nearly happened in France recently, and the shock was alleviated by the fact that the fleet is NOT made of identical reactors, and therefore a fair part could produce.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_France#Crisis...

> France is increasing its fission fleet again

Not really. The last project (Flamanville-3) started in 2004, work on the field started in 2007, the reactor was to be delivered in 2012 for 3.3 billion € and only started a few months ago (it did not yet reach full power) for at least 23.7 billion €. https://www.lemonde.fr/economie/article/2025/01/14/epr-de-fl...

Even the official report about it states explicitly that this building project was a failure.

There are claimed intentions to build at least 2 new reactors since 2022, nothing else.

mpweiher a day ago | parent [-]

> [renewables massively increased electricity prices, not decreased them as claimed]

> We all have to consider the total cost on the long term.

Yes, we do. When you consider long term, it gets even worse for intermittent renewables. Nuclear, on the other hand is a license to print money when you consider the long term.

> I analyzed it for France.

With all due respects to your "analysis", the French auditors came to a different conclusion.

> Nope [to having little effect on CO₂ emissions]

The graph you linked to proves my point: the reduction is laughable. France's specific CO₂ emissions are less than 1/10th of Germany's per kWh. Have been for decades, at a fraction of the cost.

> France ("Flamanville-3" reactor) and the US (Vogtle, VS Summer) did so, and it failed.

Again, the opposite is true. Those projects did not "fail". They all produce reliable power, which intermittent renewables cannot do, at better prices than intermittent renewables.

Of course, compared to other nuclear projects, they were massive failures, but not when compared to intermittent renewables. The standards are just so different.

And your reasoning is also wrong: those projects "failed" (relative to other nuclear projects) precisely because far too little was being built. They are all First of a Kind (FOAK) builds, and built in countries that built little to no new nuclear in the last 20-40 years.

FOAK builds are slow and expensive (and slow is extra expensive, as most of the cost is financing, i.e. interest payments). NOAK builds tend to go much quicker and be a lot cheaper. As an example, China builds much faster and cheaper. People incorrectly claim this is because they skimp on safety, labor, tech etc.

Not true. Their first AP-1000 took 9 years, almost as long as Vogtles, especially when you take into account the COVID years. They are now building their version in 5 years. Essentially the same reactor, certainly the same country. Half the time.

FOAK vs. NOAK is the ticket.

> .. therefore if a potentially dangerous defect is discovered you will have to shut them down all.

France's primary problem was lack of maintenance due to the de-emphasis of nuclear during the Mitterand years and deferred maintenance during COVID.

And you don't build just one kind. Build 2-3 kinds and 10-20 of each.

Oh, and don't build them too quick. These things last for 100 years, so to achieve steady state you can't build out your entire fleet in 10-20 years, because then you industry has nothing to build for the next 80-90 years and withers.

> Even the official report about it states explicitly that this building project was a failure.

No it didn't. Relative to the standards of nuclear power plants it was horrific. But even under fairly negative assumptions for the price of electricity it will have "modest" profitability. Which, once again, is better than the best intermittent renewables projects.

And FV3 is not "the nuclear industry". It is that particular project.

> There are claimed intentions to build at least 2 new reactors since 2022, nothing else.

That is false. The current plan is to build 6 EPR2 and later on to build 8 more. Sites have been selected for the first 6, and engineering contracts for the first 2 have been awarded to the tune of several billion €.

If that's "nothing", then can I have just a bit of that "nothing" from you? Can send you my bank details.

natmaka a day ago | parent [-]

> When you consider long term, it gets even worse for intermittent renewables. Nuclear, on the other hand is a license to print money

Non-backed-up nonsense.

> With all due respects to your "analysis", the French auditors came to a different conclusion.

Once again: source? The reality is that the French Cour of Audit officially declared 5 years ago that there could be no more nuclear project without a financial direct public guarantee. Proof: https://www.challenges.fr/top-news/nucleaire-la-cour-des-com...

Its last report on nuclear, published last January, is TITLED: "DES RISQUES PERSISTANTS" (persistent risks). Proof: https://www.ccomptes.fr/sites/default/files/2025-01/20250114...

> The graph you linked to proves my point: the reduction is laughable

Nope, 538 geqCO2/KWh (2013) to 344 (2024) with a huge coal industry which cannot be quickly phased out and while shutting down all nuclear reactors is very good.

> France's specific CO₂ emissions are less than 1/10th of Germany's per kWh.

The reasons are well-known (France, during the 1960's, had no other option): https://sites.google.com/view/electricitedefrance/messmer-pl...

> at a fraction of the cost.

Nope (TCO), as already exposed (along with sources): https://sites.google.com/view/electricitedefrance/accueil#h....

>> France ("Flamanville-3" reactor) and the US (Vogtle, VS Summer) did so, and it failed.

> Again, the opposite is true

OMG. According to you they are successes, and even official reports conclude that they failed.

> compared to intermittent renewables. The standards are just so different.

That's patently not the trend: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/electricity-fossil-renewa...

> those projects "failed" (relative to other nuclear projects) precisely because far too little was being built.

Nope, this appeal to some strong and persistent benefit induced by batching projects is void, and the industry knows it for quite a while: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S03014...

> They are all First of a Kind (FOAK) builds

The EPR is explicitly and officially very similar to existing reactors, it only is an evolution of existing designs and not a new concept. Proof: https://recherche-expertise.asnr.fr/savoir-comprendre/surete...

> and built in countries that built little to no new nuclear in the last 20-40 years.

The projects started 15 to 25 years ago, just a few years after the last reactor built before them. Moreover those nations have active reactors fleets and massive public nuclear R&D budgets, therefore the fable "no-one worked on all this" is ridiculous.

> most of the cost is financing, i.e. interest payments

True, but only because the projects were extremely late.

> China builds

Renewables. Facts (sourced! just try to do so): https://sites.google.com/view/nuclaireenchine/accueil

> They are now building

Very few reactors. Their EPR were officially late and overbudget.

> France's primary problem was lack of maintenance

Source? Not at all. The nuclear authority is very, very picky here.

> due to the de-emphasis of nuclear during the Mitterand years

Nope. Mitterrand heavily helped nuclear, and this is now a well-known fact. M. Boiteux, EDF boss at the time, also did reckon it. French ahead: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5rvP1zstk68

> and deferred maintenance during COVID.

Source? Not at all, in practice, as many 'Grand Carénage' subprojects were completed in due time while respecting budgets (this is very rare in this industry and was touted). https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grand_car%C3%A9nage

> to achieve steady state you can't build out your entire fleet in 10-20 years, because then you industry has nothing to build for the next 80-90 years and withers.

In France the solution was to try to sell reactors to various nations, and

>> Even the official report about it states explicitly that this building project was a failure.

> No it didn't.

Wrong, once more. Proof: "La construction de l’EPR de Flamanville aura accumulé tant de surcoûts et de délais qu’elle ne peut être considérée que comme un échec pour EDF". Source: conclusion of the official report analyzing the EPR at Flamanville, page 31

https://www.assemblee-nationale.fr/dyn/media/organes-parleme...

> "modest" profitability. Which, once again, is better than the best intermittent renewables projects.

Source?

> And FV3 is not "the nuclear industry". It is that particular project.

Granted. Which project succeeded since year 2000?

>> There are claimed intentions to build at least 2 new reactors since 2022, nothing else.

> The current plan is to build 6 EPR2

Yes: it only is a plan. Nothing more. And "6" is "at least 2". Right now we only know where 2 of them can theoretically be built (at the existing plant at Penly).

> Sites have been selected for the first 6

Which ones? Sources?

> engineering contracts for the first 2 have been awarded

Yes, for preparatory work. There is a long route ahead...

> If that's "nothing"

Compared to renewables? Nothin' indeed! https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/electricity-fossil-renewa...

mpweiher 18 hours ago | parent [-]

[nuclear license to print money]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cbeJIwF1pVY

"Jetzt müssen RWE und Co. die ausgedienten Gelddruckmaschinen sicher abwickeln."

But that was the well-known pro nuclear lobby group...greenpeace.

https://www.greenpeace.de/klimaschutz/energiewende/atomausst...

"Atomkraftwerke sind Gelddruckmaschinen."

But that was the well-known pro nuclear lobbyist...Jürgen Trittin

https://www.presseportal.de/pm/57706/1010574

Anyway, you are just regurgitating the same old counter-factual nonsense as before, and the irrelevant "but China is also building renewables".

Once again: nuclear and renewables are only a contradiction in the minds of anti-nuclear advocates. Industrial nations do both.

> Plan to build 6 then 8 more EPR2 → "only a plan"

That is incorrect. As stated before, the approvals are being sought, 3 sites have been selected and multi-billion € contracts have been awarded.

> Sites have been selected for the first 6

https://world-nuclear-news.org/articles/bugey-chosen-to-host...

> [engineering contracts] → long road ahead

Newsflash: yes, nuclear power plants are big.

Once again: if multi-billion contracts are "nothing", please give some of that "nothing". I will send you my bank details.

Apologies about pointing at Mitterand, that was incorrect. I meant Hollande.

https://www.ewmagazine.nl/kennis/achtergrond/2022/10/bernard...

Translation: 'Green cabal paralyzes the nuclear industry’

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1ePZUamAzNA4IzdR1dlkE2wtl...

natmaka 9 hours ago | parent [-]

You quote assertions. It doesn't proves anything about the nuclear industry. An indictment must specify who did what, when, and with what effect.

> the irrelevant "but China is also building renewables".

No, I state the fact: China is building WAY, WAY MORE renewables than nuclear.

> nuclear and renewables are only a contradiction in the minds of anti-nuclear advocates. Industrial nations do both.

They try to do nuclear (with meager effects) just like many of them do coal: inertia, political pressure...

>> Plan to build 6 then 8 more EPR2 → "only a plan"

> That is incorrect. As stated before, the approvals are being sought, 3 sites have been selected and multi-billion € contracts have been awarded.

Here, also, only acts prove anything. Everything started in 2022 and, 3 years later, only one site preparation project has begun.

>> Sites have been selected for the first 6

> https://world-nuclear-news.org/articles/bugey-chosen-to-host...

"Selected" is far from "nuclear-specific work is in order"!

> Apologies about pointing at Mitterand, that was incorrect. I meant Hollande.

Which action of F. Hollande did hurt the nuclear sector? Not a single one! No, not Fessenheim (French ahead, AFAIK a software translator does the job): https://sites.google.com/view/electricitedefrance/accueil#h....

> Translation: 'Green cabal paralyzes the nuclear industry’

The interviewee, Bernard Accoyer, does not make any specific accusations; it is a conspiracy theory. He is well-known for this in France.