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ajb 10 hours ago

There's no indication that any of them are well versed in anything to do with the physical world (manufacturing, electronics, agriculture, etc) but they forecast that AI can replace the human physical economy in a few years, including manufacturing it's own chips.

lordofgibbons 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> but they forecast that AI can replace the human physical economy in a few years

I guess it depends how many years YOU mean. They're absolutely not claiming that there will be armies of robots making chips in 3 years. They're claiming there will be some semblance of AGI that will be capable of improving/speeding-up the AI development loop within 3 years.

ajb 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The ai-2027 folks absolutely do claim that. Their scenario has "Humans realize that they are obsolete" in late 2029.

pjc50 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> They're absolutely not claiming that there will be armies of robots making chips in 3 years. They're claiming there will be some semblance of AGI that will be capable of improving/speeding-up the AI development loop within 3 years

Motte and bailey: huge claim in the headline, little tiny claim in the body.

popcorncowboy 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Because 1, 2, skip a few, 99, ASI. Check, and mate.