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lordofgibbons 10 hours ago

> but they forecast that AI can replace the human physical economy in a few years

I guess it depends how many years YOU mean. They're absolutely not claiming that there will be armies of robots making chips in 3 years. They're claiming there will be some semblance of AGI that will be capable of improving/speeding-up the AI development loop within 3 years.

ajb 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The ai-2027 folks absolutely do claim that. Their scenario has "Humans realize that they are obsolete" in late 2029.

pjc50 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> They're absolutely not claiming that there will be armies of robots making chips in 3 years. They're claiming there will be some semblance of AGI that will be capable of improving/speeding-up the AI development loop within 3 years

Motte and bailey: huge claim in the headline, little tiny claim in the body.