They're still producing more artillery shells than Europe and US are able to provide Ukraine.

That seems to be the determining factor in this war.

These tactics have all been observed. Shells don't have a long range, bodies either. The use shells because of terror tactics and because they barely have accurate stuff.

Blow up oil and their economy will collapse. Funding military and payouts will decrease. No money for nuclear stuff. No troops to interfere in other countries.

War stops and their arsenal won't receive any maintenance anymore for the next 20 years.

Moscow's influence decreases, Russia collapses and will be split up in different countries again. One of them will be high oil production, the rest will benefit from passthrough payments ( instead of nothing before) and will be partially deserted as it always has been.

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geysersam 7 months ago | parent [-]

I have no idea what point you are making. Russia is winning the war, oil prices are still high, the new US government is ready to negotiate and stop arming Ukraine. There are no signs Russia is about to collapse.

> The use shells because of terror tactics and because they barely have accurate stuff.

They're using shells because 80% of casualties in the war are caused by artillery.

	▲	aguaviva 7 months ago \| parent \| next [-]
		There are no signs Russia is about to collapse. Imminently, no. And it doesn't need to collapse outright. It just needs to become sufficiently clear to whomever is currently gearing up to take over after Putin croaks/fades in a few years -- that its projected general condition (as affects their own wealth and comfort) for the next 10-20 years or so will start to look very blighted indeed, if it doesn't rapidly change course on its optional (and very, very costly) neocolonial project.
	▲	NicoJuicy 7 months ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		You don't know that Russia has to sell it's oil under the official oil price because of sanctions? Other: Euro/dollar vs. Rubble NATO added a bunch of strong countries ( eg. Finland) CSTO => failed Inflation rate in Russia, eg. Food Decreased military exports abroad The requirement to get help from Iran and North Korea Depleting tanks Unemployment rate in Russia ( overheating of the economy) And weirdly enough, the high rates companies has to pay their employees I'm more amazed why you would even think Russia is even winning. Ah, yes, the new government. Who wants a Trump tower in Russia. Lol