Except it's not a guarantee. They can still surpass you. It might be a little harder, a little less likely - but it's still completely possible.

It's certainly possible, but unlikely. Because for some window of time domestic alternatives will offer less for more. And so there's no real market fit for them, meaning they're only going to survive if the government constantly props up the companies which opens the door to all the usual problems of such relations - perverse motivations, grift, inefficiency, artificial cost/time bloat, etc.

So even if the government sets out to surpass you, it's quite likely to just turn into a black hole of money. See: CHIPS Act leading to many billions spent to... remain completely dependent upon Taiwan. But all of this changes when you create a scenario where domestic players are the only players in the market.