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▲ stuxnet79 2 days ago

This is the kind of pedantry I come into HN for. Poisson is such an under-utilized distribution for these kinds of phenomena.

▲tmoertel 2 days ago | parent | next [-]

> Poisson is such an under-utilized distribution for these kinds of phenomena.

Yeah, Poisson distributions show up everywhere if you are paying attention. You can even use the theory as the basis for a fast, elegant algorithm to take parallel, weighted random samples. You can even do it in SQL!:

    SELECT *
    FROM Population
    WHERE weight > 0
    ORDER BY -LN(1.0 - RANDOM()) / weight
    LIMIT 100  -- Sample size.
For more on the Poission connection, see: https://blog.moertel.com/posts/2024-08-23-sampling-with-sql....
▲Karrot_Kream 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Isn't it a natural modeling choice? If your events arrive on exponentially distributed deltas, you end up having poisson arrival counts.

▲8note a day ago | parent | prev [-]

possion distribution is what i learned in university for describing this kind of event?

the book is underutilized?

▲stuxnet79 a day ago | parent [-]

No I learned it in university like most of us did but 10+ years in tech I have never once seen somebody reach out for it in situations like this one where it is a natural fit.

Few people understand it well, even though it's effectively a binomial distribution (easy to grok) but with special constraints.