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▲ alwa 2 hours ago

And especially where the fuzzy edges and blind spots are—the limitations of the methods, and the aspects of problems that are essential to the question but hard to quantify or test or reproduce.

I feel like a lot of people are going to put the same faith in their new quantitative superpowers as psychologists did in their 95% confidence intervals [0], and managers did in their “scientific management”/time-and-motion studies, and American political pollsters did in their 2016 presidential prognostications, and Rudder’s OKTrends blog (delightfully) did in calculating the answers to romance [1]…

[0] https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/basics/replication-crisis

[1] e.g. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35331762