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▲ leafingensemble 5 hours ago

Tracking meta capex, parameters and AA intelligence there are diminishing marginal returns.

Diminishing, as in progress gets harder and eventually stops.

Assume that the Claude unreleased takes 11 days with one agent. The Claude 5.2 takes 30 hours with 1,000 agents. The Claude unreleased used 264 units of compute, but the Claude 5.2 used 30,000.

So, it did accomplish the task faster with less intervention, but the ratio of cost to improvement is 13:1.

If we can't produce a method to break out of a linear improvement in LLM technology (ie RSI), the LLM is doomed.

I am yet to see someone explain what the RSI will be or why it will happen.