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▲ rdtsc 3 hours ago

> I know people like conspiracy theories, but nothing about this suggests false flag.

I am not saying it is, just interesting to analyze who it would have been if it was. Does it benefit Iran to attack France? I guess? Maybe just a target of opportunity. US freezers are just too damn locked down(!). Or does it benefit someone else to make it look like Iran did it, kind of a thing...

Well you were betting it was Russia, and I kinda expected that as well. But then, yeah, probably Russia would want to boast that they did it as a threat or show of force not make it look like their semi-allies (Iranians) did it.

▲bawolff 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Mostly i'd just say - false flags are extremely high risk. You don't do something like that just to get france a little bit upset with Iran. If you are going to go for a false flag, you do something extreme as that is the only way for the expected pay off to counterbalance the severe risk.

▲t-3 2 hours ago | parent [-]

The most important part of a false flag is to have media support pushing the false narrative before any alternative narratives have a chance, and Iran definitely doesn't have that. The uncertainty about who was attacking and these late revelations make it even less likely to be a false flag, IMO. Everybody was expecting this to be the Russians.