> Another way to put this is "Do you feel comfortable shorting NVDA tomorrow morning based on this news?"

This is a silly way to read corporate governance. There exist finer levers for tuning up and down exposure than going long or short.

> If you're completely confident that this will result in his removal

Straw man. Nobody argued this.

What's being argued is that the top comment's implication–that this is par for the course–is bullshit. The Board is signaling a partial loss of confidence in their CEO. There is also substantial risk, though no assurance, that Jensen will step down.

> I'd give it even odds

That's what about 50% chances mean.