Who said anything about a wholesale reversal?

All these things can be true simultaneously:

* AI has wholly taken over the corporate world

* Programmers can now generate (and are expected to generate) massive amounts of code

* This massive productivity boost is, oddly enough, not reflected in consumer products at all

* In fact, most of this productivity seems to be aimed at making AI widgets or infrastructure for maintaining AI widgets

* LLM use may very well get software development stuck at its current level of complexity (because AI is incapable of independent abstraction and simplification)

* Programmers are deskilling en masse and turning into managers (without admitting it to themselves)

* Technical programming discussions have become incredibly boring for people actually interested in the craft; care, curiosity, and understanding have been jettisoned

* The externalities of LLM use remain the same (and, to an extent, can’t actually be fixed)

* Most of the benefits of LLM use are going to management; programmers now have to do a lot more for the same pay

* There will always be programmers who code by hand, even in a professional capacity — and it’s quite likely they’ll be the ones dragging the industry forward (up the ladder of abstraction)

And finally:

* People who voluntarily give up their craft and livelihood to proprietary black boxes are chumps

Maybe I misunderstood you. I thought that after the sentiment grew ever stronger that there was an “and then something happens” implied. I assumed you meant reversal.