I was just watching a video about this. They had this survey question for AI researchers asking when they think AI would take their job. The reason they asked this was that would be the point where AI starts recursive self improvement. If it’s able to replace the job of an AI researcher, then it could keep improving itself.

Instead of just asking the researchers when RSI would be achieved? Sneeky!

This is a tautology.

I don't know how much we learn by surveying working "AI researchers". By their own admission most of them have a religious belief that they will bring about a singularity in the next few years. It's like asking a billionaire if he earned his wealth; regardless of what you think the answer is, you pretty much know how they will answer ahead of time.