I agree, but also, I kind of feel like real judgement and understanding are a different thing from this "being good at thinking", and that in fact, this is the reason AIs hallucinate in the first place (A generated text can fit the pattern of a good response because its accurate, or because it's bs but has similar words and structure to other texts on the topic. Without real understanding, LLMs can't tell that the truth is important)

It's not directly related to this but I'd like to add that, in my opinion (admittedly uninformed but it makes sense to me), when they manage to, not just reduce the frequency of the LLM stating made up dates, laws etc, or made up facts, but manage to make an AI understand what the truth is and deliberately make responses accurate, we'll have real AGI that will be able to do engineering, accounting, medicine... unsupervised.