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▲ echoangle 5 hours ago

Shouldn’t the expected value of attempting this somehow include the likelihood of the key actually being on the machine? Surely the probability is much higher than 0? I would guess the expected value for actually being the first one is around $300, not 0

▲andersonpico 4 hours ago | parent [-]

> Surely the probability is much higher than 0

I genuinely have no idea how to even start calculating this probability. How would we do it? Is there reliable data on honeypots?