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▲ RugnirViking 3 hours ago

Have you tried asking jev to predict the result of a con flip? My one and only prompt to jev so far has been that. After I 90% heads as a result, I figured I'd wait a bit before checking again to see if this tech has become useful

▲red75prime 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You'll get 50% prediction accuracy for a fair coin no matter what result a model gives. Try testing adversarial games. Mixed strategies make actual sense in them.

▲dullcrisp an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Try it yourself to prove you’re useful. Predict my coin flip.

▲arcanemachiner an hour ago | parent [-]

I can't, because I don't think you have any coins on you. :)

▲kolme 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

A probabilistic system that cannot reliably reproduce probabilities - somewhat ironic, but absolutely not its purpose.

▲dullcrisp an hour ago | parent [-]

It’s not really ironic since the goal of the system is to reduce variance. Or I guess ironic in the same way as it is that the Buckingham Palace guards just stand there when they could leave at any time.

▲teekert 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That's like not using an LLM for coding assistance because it can't count r's in strawberry.

▲ 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
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▲ricardobeat 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Try asking it to write a program to predict coin flips. That's what it is trained to do.

▲elxr 32 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

Jev literally cannot write programs.

▲schaefer an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

this is not what *decision models* do.

▲panarky 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I'm dying to know if you got heads or tails when you flipped the coin.

▲ an hour ago | parent [-]
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