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▲ mtlmtlmtlmtl a day ago

No it isn't. It doesn't matter how real the technology is. The bubble will still pop, because when a technology is seen as revolutionary, you get rampant overinvestment. And only a fraction of those investments will pay off(or, indeed, none, in the case where frontier labs are eventually made irrelevant by open models, which seems very likely to me).

The internet and web were revolutionary, no one can deny that. They completely transformed our society. Nevertheless, the bubble popped. The current bubble is no different.

▲pendenthistory 14 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't doubt there will be a big crash at some point, but I actually doubt we've reached that point yet. So far stock increases have been driven by earning increases, not speculation. I know an "earnings bubble" can be a thing, but given how useful I know these models to be, and how few use them in the way they can be, I think we have far to go still.