| ▲ | naasking 2 hours ago | |||||||
Is 50% good? It's what you'd expect by posing "will AI do X by 2026?" and then flipping a coin to get an answer. | ||||||||
| ▲ | Jtarii 15 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | |||||||
"By 2026, Google’s main product will not be search but AI." You think this was a 50/50 coinflip statement in 2016? | ||||||||
| ||||||||
| ▲ | Computer0 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | |||||||
The coin-flip comparison doesn't really hold up. These weren't 16 independent questions with 50/50 odds. Some were safe bets, others were pretty far out there in 2016. Getting half right only tells you something if 50% was a reasonable baseline to begin with. Why would it be? | ||||||||