| ▲ | Aurornis 7 hours ago | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A confusing thing about fundraising and dilution is that the new shares don’t take away value from existing shareholders. If each share is worth $1 at the valuation used in the raise, then an investor adding $100 million gets 100 million shares for it. The shares aren’t taken away from anyone, they're issued in exchange for the capital. So ideally the dilution is neutral to the value of the equity. In practice this is highly variable because the valuations are fuzzy numbers used for the raise, but you get the idea. If a company can get the same growth without raising, that would be better because the proportional ownership stays higher. However, the reason companies give equity in exchange for capital is that they need the cash for growth and can’t get it on better terms anywhere else. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | xnorswap 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
That's always struck me as a very idealistic way of looking at dilution. Another way to look at it, is that it's partly locking in the value of those shares at the time of dilution, effectively reducing the variance of the future value of the existing shares. As a thought experiment: If you're holding a lottery ticket that you bought, and someone comes along, says they're going to buy 1,000 lottery tickets, but promises to share any winnings with you pro-rata. You don't really have a choice to say no. You'd probably be really annoyed, if your ticket is a winning ticket, you split the jackpot and don't even get a life-changing amount of money back for it. If any of theirs wins, you likewise get a modest amount, but you weren't bothered about losing £1. It's an expectation neutral thought experiment, but reducing variance isn't always wanted! | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▲ | missedthecue 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
New shares take away from existing shareholders in every circumstance except one: that the money raised is invested in a way that durably grows the business in excess of the dilution. Every story where a company sold for an amount that wiped out employee equity (for example every Bending Spoons acquisition) is because they raised too much and it never materialized into (sufficient) growth. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | jimbokun 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Similarly, printing more of a nation's currency does not increase inflation. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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