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▲ proxysna an hour ago

I have huge hopes fox CXMT entering the market and at least offsetting this nightmare. Just this week i've paid ~$1k USD for 2x32G DDR5 ECC, insane.

▲dv_dt 3 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

The greed and shortsightedness from both the memory makers and their big customers trying to lock out competitors from memory purchases is palpable. The first act of a Shakespearean or Greek Tragedy is where the characters take the actions that lock in the circumstances that precede their downfall. And this sets up everything for the next act where CXMT has everything it needs to establish itself on the market with buyers that would perhaps would not have considered it in other circumstances.

▲aurareturn 11 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Everyone, and I mean everyone, is gated by ASML machines. They can't make nearly enough EUV machines to satisfy the demand. ASML has also not scaled their production nearly as much because they're quite far away from the AGI-pilled companies in the supply chain.

▲Tuna-Fish 5 minutes ago | parent [-]

Well, CXMT is not gated by ASML machines because they can't buy them. They can raise their capacity because they have access to the domestically produced steppers. They are not as good as the ASML ones, and if the memory prices were not bonkers, they'd never make a profit using them, but as it is the low yields and high die sizes don't matter.

▲elorant an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

They don't have the infrastructure to meet global demand.

▲Grombobulous 28 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

I would never bet against a Chinese company ramping up production quickly.

▲ngl999 13 minutes ago | parent [-]

They'll probably join the party and hype about tight demand by that time.

▲vidarh 21 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

They're 10% of the market now, and they've shown the ability to scale up manufacturing rapidly. They certainly won't singlehandedly meet demand, but they might at least be able to temper the price growth quite a bit.

▲bryanlarsen 36 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Yet. Maybe they will by 2028, making this prediction incorrect.