What's total US annual payrolls? I don't think it's beyond the order of $20 trillion. So they're going to have to replace something on the order of magnitude of half of all jobs OR "create" the difference, in terms of jobs going to AI.

▲

hirako2000 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It's less* than that, and if AI replaces workers at that scale it will create such a problem* the system would fall before these companies manage to demonstrate they escaped bankruptcy.

*https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2026/09/22/how-americ...

▲

missedthecue 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

1. This is global, not USA only

2. Global GDP will be ~$165T by 2031

3. This is not $6T of ChatGPT subscription revenue. The article actually specifically says of the $6T, $200-$400B would be subscription and AI app revenue in 2031.

4. The $6T figure is AI "economic enablement". Drugs, robotics, research, coding, manufacturing, materials, etc...

	▲	jollyllama 3 hours ago \| parent [-]
		Fair point about global vs US as your sibling notes. > 2. Global GDP will be ~$165T by 2031 But GDP is a very different thing than payrolls.

▲

ai-x 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Why are you restricting it to US?