Is there anything that could happen that you wouldn't use as evidence that they are hitting a plateau?

It just seems like these claims are constant and looking back the calls of 'plateau' between 2023 and 2025 were clearly false, why should we think it's different now?

I am a lawyer not a coder, but for me the new models make the exact dumb mistakes they did in 2023. Everytime I come here I feel I'm in an alternate reality.