> In the future, you'll just get left behind and not hired if you're building code by hand, it's that simple.

I expect the exactly opposite to happen. These are going to be the most requested developers as the last ones that understand how it work.

They would then be convinced to use AI for speed, but vibecoders that just prompt AI are the ones that won't find jobs.

Agreed for pure vibecoders, but I would expect vibecoding to just become a must have skill for other roles like product owners etc. Still expect some amount of developers to be retained for grooming the vibecoding environment, reviewing and incident response.

I'm not sure I understand what you're saying? To keep it simple, how much code do you expect will be written by humans in say, two years time?