Cool article.

>While it’s possible that this is just a much more AI-friendly problem, I don’t think it’s just that: I think the technology has genuinely gotten better.

It has gotten better imo. The blog author mentions 2 cases at the beginning -- users who think that AI will be capped and those who think it will be uncapped. From my perspective, both are technically right -- AI is capped or technically has usually reached some sort of cap, until human innovation improves it. AI doesn't really improve itself on a grand scale so much as humans improve it.

In other words, AI can and does iteratively improve, but every single ceiling we've spotted and broken through so far came from human ingenuity or effort. It will likely continue to require it, regardless of how much it can do on it's own. In that regard, it seems as though all of this will inevitably be "uncapped, until it reaches a cap, and then likely it will eventually be uncapped by humans (again)". Because of this, AI will never perfectly fit neatly into an 'uncapped' or 'capped' bucket, as long as time continues moving and we continue solving issues as they crop up.

I'm an AI skeptic, or even anti-AI, and even I would have a hard time to admit it hasn't gotten any better.

In fact I will even admit it, yes AI has gotten better... but also how could it NOT? It has literally all the resources it can has, namely attention from everyone, everybody talks about it, a lot of workers, from state of the art researchers to annotators, all the material resources, from dedicated chips to networking to water to electricity, the entire available dataset of Human written and said thoughts, literally everything published and thus categorized.

AI literally has everything humanity can provide, it better be "better".

> The blog author

I also liked the article and the author before this post. But let's be honest that this was paid work as part of Anthropic's PR campaign, not just a random blog post.

I feel like usage of AI alone should be enough to uncap it, so long as AI companies do the predictable thing and steal everything from everyone.

There are thousands of people figuring out how to make AI better for their particular thing. Way more than that walking the AI through taking things from problem to solution.

AI can totally identify optimizations within a paradigm without human intervention. What it isn't good at now is deciding to try totally new paradigms. Humans aren't great at this either, though it's more cultural in our case.