Self-driving cars and trucks will eliminate human-controlled driving in the same way that engines (ICE, electric, steam, whatever) have eliminated human and animal powered transportation.

Yes, there are a few people around who ride horses, have an ox-cart or pedal their own bikes, but in a commercial sense, those are rounding errors.

Compilers have already replaced software engineers producing native code by hand. (Apart from a handful of exceptions.) LLMs will and do have a similar impact one level higher.

I'm really, really happy when I see my less technical friends suddenly vibe-code things they have dreamed up!

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throwaway85825 an hour ago | parent [-]

And when will the self driving car be able to orthogonal park a trailer by backing down and alley?

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eru an hour ago | parent [-]

I don't know what that means. But presumably you are talking about some difficult technical feat that one can perform with a vehicle?

I'm fairly sure, if it's something mechanical and a human can do it, the computers won't be far behind. But even if not, we can redesign the vehicles to make it easier for a computer, eg we can make all axes or even all wheels independently steerable and control their velocity individually. A human would be overwhelmed with that, they can barely keep hold of a steering wheel, but a computer wouldn't mind too much.

	▲	throwaway85825 32 minutes ago \| parent [-]
		Not difficult just an edge case with a more questionable value proposition for implementation. Yes I considered independent wheels but a basic trailer is $3k, which doesn't leave much room for anything complicated. The point is there's a million of these edge cases for which autonomy will not economically compete for another hundred years.