> when you can just start from zero, look at what's known to be happening right now

Good idea, I wonder why none of the doomers have ever done it? They've never provided a good account of their prompts and environment, their models and training are completely closed too. All we have is "Trust me bro".

> and draw a very straight line to catastrophe.

Line from where? From a vaguely described and badly engineered experiment to "horror, doom, nukes, voodoo..."? The only straight line I can see is one of conflicts of interest.

It’s just nonsense man.

Like, Yudkowski is a high school dropout who wrote a bunch of Harry Potter fanfic I cannot believe that people take the arguments he makes seriously.