> their lifestyle now depends on "p(doom) is big" being true

How?

Suppose that for the following 20 or even 100 years nothing happens. The AIs miraculously stay as they are today, the further progress turns out to be impossible, there will be no more agents hacking various websites, no cyber warfare involving AI agents, nothing. There will be the year 2026, forever.

How would any of that impact the lifestyle of anyone in the rationalist community? Please be more specific with your accusation.

(Seems like the rationalists are simultaneously the dark lords of TESCREAL, pulling the strings of the world's most powerful billionaires and politicians, but also irrelevant weird nerds who can be ruined at any moment by a smart blogger explaining how their opinions are silly, or even that they know each other.)

As an example, in that example who pays for the orgy compound on Telegraph Ave?