Lawyer here (non practicing so to be clear none of this affects me):

most comments I read here don't seem to realize that different areas of law have very very different economic models and don't even mention which one they think will be affected or why, they just sort of lump it all together.

For example: It is highly unlikely llms will have any meaningful effect on high value personal injury law - I don't see a 5 million dollar case being handed to an LLM when the majority of the cost is in trial aids and not even lawyers. It may affect where and how they advertise. It may affect how they work. But it seems really unlikely to put any of them out of business any time soon by people doing it themselves.

Will it affect other areas more? Maybe. Probably? But so far I haven't seen a ton of comments that make specific enough arguments that they could really be debated or responded to effectively with a useful opinion

> them out of business any time soon

No. It'll be like software. Entry level employment will be affected. You wont want or need associate attorneys when you can hire a brilliant AI associate for 1/10th the price.

LLMs will never replace human experts.

I'd love to get your thoughts on the current frontier models for law, or a link to anything you've written on the subject. Where do you think they're at?

There's a huge problem on here - many people stepping outside of their domains of expertise with surface level knowledge.

Its teh same reason claude for finance hasn't turned the finance world upside down.

This is getting tiresome seriously. Why wont these geeks learn some lessons?