Gift link: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/business/ai-raises-hiring...

>Liminal Capital, an investment firm, estimated in August that about a third of jobs appear to be more exposed to substitution than augmentation by A.I. In those occupations, new hires among workers ages 22 to 25 have fallen by a third since 2021, even as firings have barely budged.

Their paper: https://www.liminal-capital.com/documents/liminal-ai-jobs-im...

I'm skeptical of the quality/bias of this, given the source. That said, the story makes sense to me at a high level. Even without the current ML expansion, general trends in automation and maturity & consolidation of the tech sector seemed to be generating a similar effect.

My whisper network has talked about cutting junior hires in computer-touching 60, 70, 80%