What I find interesting is that while the actions of the US have been incredibly foolish and poorly thought through, Iran’s ability to make things hurt is very much a sword that cuts both ways.

There is now very strong incentive to develop alternatives that bypass what Iran can effect, which is exactly what’s happening. It will take a while for the infrastructure to come online, but as the months and eventually years go by, Iran will find its biggest lever for control rapidly diminishing even if the war was stopped now. Likewise, the move to EV’s will likely accelerate.

Americans have proven passive enough that I don’t expect political/military change unless the democrats pull their head out of their ass long enough to win the 2026 November elections and start impeaching and prosecuting the trump regime.

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palmotea 16 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

> ...unless the democrats ... start impeaching and prosecuting the trump regime.

Because that worked so well last time.

Time for some new ideas.

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edfsadfer 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

"There is now very strong incentive to develop alternatives that bypass what Iran can effect, which is exactly what’s happening. It will take a while for the infrastructure to come online, but as the months and eventually years go by, Iran will find its biggest lever for control rapidly diminishing even if the war was stopped now. Likewise, the move to EV’s will likely accelerate."

I am old enough to have lived through the oil shocks in New Zealand. It got so bad the government rolled out an alternative fuel system network of compressed natural gas. Many fuel stations had installed the tanks and pumps and many cars were converted to it. NZ has gas deposits enough to meet all its own demands.

As soon as the oil shock was over it was all ripped out and we all went back to oil.

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foobiekr 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It will take _many_ years for alternatives to come online in the US and most other places. So much of the west is unable to execute on any kind of large project. In addition, in the US, the current administration has an irrational opposition to the main cost-effective alternatives.

	▲	mysterydip 6 hours ago \| parent \| next [-]
		It doesn’t seem irrational if their friends/family/donors have investments in the incumbent energy systems.
	▲	onlypassingthru 5 hours ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		What if I told you that manipulating the oil futures market was a foolproof way to make themselves filthy rich? Would you still think that opposition was irrational?

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Buttons840 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The world moving away from oil weakens America too. It's not like the US is a leading producer of solar panels or EVs.