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A rough guide for going back to the Moon(research.ibm.com)
32 points by gmays a day ago | 17 comments
Planktonne 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It's hard not to see this as a consolation prize. In 1969, we went to the moon.

In 2026, with all the benefits of a tech industry that has become ever more powerful, with endless money poured into innovation, our 'rough guide back to the moon' is an AI model that maps it. It's powerful and impressive, of course, and doubtless very useful to researchers, and space exploration is not a priority--all of that is true, sure.

But to have the fruits of 50+ years of technological progress result not in going back to the moon, or onto other challenges, but just a refinement in looking at the moon. Is this the best giant leap we can muster now? So much innovation and yet we lack a capability we used to have.

I know there are all sorts of ways to explain this away, but it still makes me sad.

sajithdilshan 4 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

I think the problem is not the technological advancement, it’s the limits of physics which are the same as in today as it was back in 1960s.

We have immense computing power now compared to 50 years ago. But that doesn’t help to escape the gravity well of earth. We’re still using the same chemical rockets to go to space, haven’t invented any new type of rocket drives

bryanlarsen 9 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> endless money poured into innovation

The US put 5% of the federal budget into the original moon mission. NASA and SpaceX and the US Space Force combined don't spend anywhere close to that on R&D.

bluGill 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Going to the moon is a publicity stunt. Been there done that. There are very few good arguments for putting anything on the moon, much less a human (which generally can do much less because all the life support needed can't be put into science). All the arguments for going to the moon need to be considered against everything else we can do - opportunity cost is real, but investing in the moon we are not investing in something else. (including less working hours...) Most of the things we developed for the moon would have been done anyway, and we don't know what things would have been developed sooner if we were not focusing on the moon.

Be realistic. You can support going to the moon. However be honest: there isn't much value from it and there are plenty of reasons to say we shouldn't.

ramesh31 an hour ago | parent [-]

>"There are very few good arguments for putting anything on the moon, much less a human (which generally can do much less because all the life support needed can't be put into science)."

The arguments are entirely romantic. But then, what exactly is life without romance? That's probably the single greatest loss of modern society; that we've been convinced nothing matters but the material and concrete.

bluGill an hour ago | parent [-]

At that point though, there are lots of other romances to peruse. Somebody could go to the moon, but it won't be me. I could however go to my local art museum - at a much smaller costs than my share of sending someone else to the moon, but I'd get more value from my trip to the art museum than someone else on the moon.

Or in my case I just went to my local high school marching band competition, and got to hear some great music. YMMV on what you find more romantic.

edgyquant 28 minutes ago | parent [-]

People want to go to the moon, you could make your same argument for lots of things humans have done but at the end of the day science is not the reason 99% of people care about or want to colonize space. People have a desire to colonize space

1970-01-01 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The goal is entirely different.

Apollo - Cold war. USA must do it before Russia and win the space race. Money is not a restriction. USA did it before Russia and won the space race.

Artemis - Prove a multi-national program can function under financial, economic, political, and even technical restrictions. We can't simply land and observe, it needs to be a team effort under a tight budget.

https://www.planetary.org/charts/apollo-vs-artemis-spending

abcd_f an hour ago | parent | next [-]

> won the space race

Some of it.

Not first to the space, not first to the Moon, not first in human spaceflight, not first in spacewalk, etc.

1970-01-01 an hour ago | parent | next [-]

That remains a ridiculous argument. The thing about a race is you can always think of excuses for not winning. Plans for Mars were being met by all accounts, however Nixon still cancelled them because the Apollo victory was so decisive.

asdfasvea 2 minutes ago | parent [-]

Thats a ridiculous comment. The thing about the space race is we were getting are ass kicked, then said 'Oh the finish line is actually this. Oh look we kicked your ass "

It was like we lost the first 9 events of a decathalon and then won the 1500 and declared ourselves the winner.

tekla an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

This is such a bad response. The space race was to get to the moon. There is a reason the USSR dropped any crewed lunar plans instantly when the USA landed (also they couldn't get the N1 to stop exploding) and went all in on satellites. They also kept the crewed tests secret because they knew they were behind the USA and was embarrassing.

https://www.reddit.com/r/AmericaBad/comments/1apgsc9/regardi...

next_xibalba 9 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That’s like saying the goal of the process is the process. It is a recursive definition and a pointless, expensive endeavor.

orbital-decay an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

>and won the space race

... or maybe just called some convenient events "space race" and refused to notice the others. Like a literal space colony circling above, for example. If you control the framing you control the reality.

heaney-555 an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

You should look into the Artemis program! Not only are we going back, but we're building a base, which will effectively be the spiritual successor to the ISS.

edgyquant 22 minutes ago | parent [-]

I’ll have to see it to believe it. Artemis was slow but seemed to be making progress and now things have been shaken up again and plans totally changed. To me that seems like it’s not going to happen

scrumper 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I read this a bit fast and with half a brain (because I'm in a boring meeting), but I'm not sure what an "AI model" is over just a common or garden model.

I get the achievement here: it's quite difficult to combine data from these various sensors into one. Is the "AI" bit referring to how that integration was done?