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cute_boi 2 hours ago

Ram Shortage, SSD shortage, CPU shortage, GPU shortage, diesel shortage, now motor oil shortage.......

Are we going to have shortage of everything now ......

LeBit 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I realize the shortages you enumerated have different reasons , but a highly respectable French engineer, Jean-Marc Jancovici , has been repeating for years that we are heading into an inevitable age of "degrowth".

It is not an "if". It is now inevitable.

He is very pro alternative sources of energy but he clearly explains nothing can replace petroleum right now. Petroleum is used to build everything. Gas for your car. Your clothes. Plastic bags. Our beloved computers. Everything uses petroleum one way or another.

We are doomed.

I’m just happy I’m too old to go through all the bad times that are coming.

icantevenhold 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You can definitely replace petroleum for many of the things you listed - or find alternative technologies that don’t require it. You can live without plastic bags or plastic clothes for instance.

It’s just that a lot of companies (and people) get very rich from it and they invest A LOT into making sure that petroleum alternatives are not viable.

Of course there are some things were petroleum cant be easily substituted but I would argue the vast majority of use cases doesnt require it.

Energy is probably the most important and there it’s laughable easy to replace.

toasty228 an hour ago | parent | next [-]

> You can definitely replace petroleum for many of the things you listed - or find alternative technologies that don’t require it. You can live without plastic bags or plastic clothes for instance.

Not really, not at this scale, or this price and convenience.

Most things you enjoy today are affordable because we have fossil fuels. The entire supply chain of every single product you can imagine is very dependent on fossil fuels. We're not even capable of making proper roads or tires without petroleum derivates, without these two alone nothing gets to you. Investigate a bit, you'll find petroleum and petroleum derivates a prerequisite of virtually everything.

Renewable energies look like a solved problem today with wind and solar, but it seems like everybody forgets that the entire supply chain to make them is 100% petrol dependant from mining raw materials to the final delivery. In a world without petrol these would be orders of magnitude more expensive, if even possible at all.

danaris an hour ago | parent [-]

> Not really, not at this scale, or this price and convenience.

Not at this scale and price and convenience.

We can absolutely do so for higher prices. And with solar panels becoming more efficient, cheaper, and more ubiquitous with each passing year, we may find that a lot of those "higher prices" were really just "higher energy input costs", and we will be able to come very close to what we have now. (I don't know for sure—this isn't an area I keep abreast of.)

toasty228 an hour ago | parent [-]

You might want to read the whole comment, renewables are only cheap now because every single step of their creation involves fossil fuels. Once everyone wants 60kg of lithium in their car and 100kg for they're home we'll quickly run into the exact same raw ressources problems.

If everything gets 10-100x harder and more expensive to make I can guarantee you the world will become a very different place.

eikenberry 30 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Wouldn't the most important thing be the nitrate fertilizers? Do we have anything to replace them?

2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]
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toasty228 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

We're an energy civilization entirely built around fossil fuels, mostly petrol, on top of that we "optimized" everything to the max, which means any little inconvenience will now break several systems/sub systems.

We're about to realize what it means to have a globalized economy addicted to petrol

axus an hour ago | parent [-]

COVID was the last time our global CO2 output decreased, hope it sticks this time.

dgellow an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes, pretty much. Have you seen that the houthis took the bab al-Mandab strait?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/09/11/world/middlee...

Food production is also at risk

walt_grata 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Dont forget beef

icantevenhold an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes but it’s fine we have way too much of everything anyway

ozim 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If you check what is globally going on then yes, it looks like we are heading that direction.

vkou 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Well, we already had the toilet paper shortage last time around, but round #2 of this administration just keeps on giving.

readthenotes1 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

And the promise is that we will have a shortage of shortages!