Remix.run Logo
okdood64 3 hours ago

> his takes on the Ukraine war

What's specifically?

pembrook 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Mainstream narratives for the first year or two of the war were:

- Russia was a paper tiger and weak

- Ukraine was going to win against a corrupt/unmotivated Russian military so it should keep fighting

- Putin had made an error and he would get overthrown

- The Russian economy was going to collapse due to sanctions

- Russia oil pipelines would freeze and never come back online without western help (this was a Peter Zeihan favorite)

- Europe would come to Ukraine's defense

- Etc.

He threw cold water on every single one of those narratives (specifically) from the beginning, meanwhile western media was busy spinning false rah-rah propaganda narratives like "the ghost of Kiev" etc.

Basically he was correct that we should not have cheered on this war. If a settlement and concessions were reached much earlier it would have been better for Ukraine (they likely would have kept more territory) and we wouldn't have 1+ million casualties and EU economies like Germany death spiraling and turning far right due to cutting themselves off from Russian energy.