The models have not plateaued, and they are not even mildly close to any sort of ceiling.

Right now the barrier is data and compute.

Quality data can be created synthetically at an exponential rate as models improve. Humans are actively feeding them with private IP.

Compute advancements will begin to skyrocket as we unlock photonic computing and materials science advancements and scale up chip fabs. This is also compounding because the AI is accelerating the pace of research, testing, development, manufacturing, etc.

It's a big self-accelerating feedback loop. There is no plateau.

> Quality data can be created synthetically at an exponential rate as models improve

No it can't? Every time the labs try this we see model collapse, e.g. shoving goblins into every conversation.

And I have seen zero evidence that AI is accelerating materials science in any meaningful way, let alone photonic computing.

Can you provide sources for these claims?