| ▲ | thrownawaysz 8 hours ago |
| I wonder when they will give up on the gaming market because that could take down several publishers and developers. I really don't think it's an if question but a when because it almost feels like an afterthought at this point (they removed the standalone gaming revenue report from the financial reports this summer). Also I don't think AMD and Intel is capable "to step in" to replace them. |
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| ▲ | noir_lord 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| AMD would step in, they where behind nvidia but they've been closing that gap for a while and the 9070XT is the current value king (in this fucked up market) for mid-high gaming and you can actually buy them. Demand for Nvidia cards has outstripped supply even on the mid-high cards specifically because they do better with local models than AMD cards with the same VRAM do broadly. AI has completely broken the PC gaming market (and PC/Laptop market more broadly but gaming is really hit hard because it's the exact components that matter for both that overlap). Nvidia had the mind share among gamers but so did Intel once, inertia only lasts so long they've been thoroughly intent on burning that to the ground for a while, back to the post 1080's If RDNA5 is good (and 4 was it closed the gap on RT) they'll been in a solid place to take the spot if Nvidia do cede the ground. I have a 7900XTX the last flagship card AMD did (about equal to a 9070XT for raster but 24GB VRAM not 16GB) and it has been and is a stellar card for gaming (let down only if you care about RT and the games I play don't have it). Flawless under Linux, weaker on the AI behind nvidia but it runs Qwen surprisingly well and I didn't and don't care too much about that except to poke it occasionally. |
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| ▲ | fragmede 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | Cryptocurrency mining had it broken before that. PC gaming's golden years are behind us, as AI, even if not LLMs, seems like it's not going away, so the gaming market is now the niche hobby while AI takes center stage. RIP. My first gaming ~GPU~ (we called them 3d accelerators back then) was a Diamond Monster II with a 3dfx Voodoo 2 chip. | | |
| ▲ | wredcoll an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | I'm not sure (pc) gaming could ever really actually pay for the continued advancement and mass production of state of the art silicon. The prices of gpus are nuts right now due to demand, but theoretically speaking demand causes more supply to appear and thus decrease prices* and then gamers can reap the benefits of massive amounts of investment. * or at least thats what people on this site keep telling me. | |
| ▲ | SV_BubbleTime 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Diamond Monster II with a 3dfx Voodoo 2 chip Oh shit, I had file deleted that. I remember now. I think I used that with the first N64 emulator, I think Project something to play Turok the first person dinosaur hunter game. Life before the internet was better I think. | | |
| ▲ | kridsdale1 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | The Glide API was the only hardware acceleration in there for a good while before it got OpenGL. I remember using a third party wrapper or something to make it work on whatever it was I had in 1999. |
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| ▲ | pdpi 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > Also I don't think AMD and Intel is capable "to step in" to replace them. It's kind of weird. nVidia kind of has the PC market cornered, but AMD has had the last couple of generations of Xbox and Playstation. Also, they power the Steam Deck/Machine, and Valve has been contributing a lot of AMD graphics features into the Linux drivers. There is a world where AMD (and maybe even Linux on AMD specifically) becomes the de facto standard for gaming. |
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| ▲ | moffkalast 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Well AMD does have the Steam Machine now, they really like doing console integrations. Shame it won't really sell given the pricing situation. | |
| ▲ | bluefirebrand 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > It's kind of weird. nVidia kind of has the PC market cornered, but AMD has had the last couple of generations of Xbox and Playstation I have been getting the vibes that Sony is positioning themselves to back out of videogames. I don't think we're going to see a PS6. | | |
| ▲ | SV_BubbleTime 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | There will be a PS6 and a NextBox… it’s just that Sony is cracking down on what some idiot MBAs have decided are “unrealized monitary streams”. |
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| ▲ | Waterluvian 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Maybe this is silly of me, but maybe gaming would enjoy an era of hardware upgrades being rather unviable so the focus turns to optimization and aesthetic. |
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| ▲ | kelvinjps10 a minute ago | parent | next [-] | | The thing is really that even entry level gaming is getting expensive. I was considering building a pc and everything is expensive, I was going to replace the disk of my ps4 thag I bought used for 100$ and the 1tb ssd costs 150$ | |
| ▲ | jayd16 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It will be interesting times but I don't think anyone will enjoy a plateau because it's expensive. Even replacing existing hardware is expensive now. Hardly enjoyabe. | |
| ▲ | delusional 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | A retraction from the gaming market wouldn't necessarily mean they'd still even produce the current crop of products. I could (and I would argue would) involve a complete shuttering of the GeForce brand, halting current production. On the assumption that Intel and AMD would follow, that wouldn't be an end of upgrades, but an end to the market. | | |
| ▲ | Waterluvian 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | Gaming is a larger market than Hollywood. Maybe it becomes a distraction for Nvidia, but someone will step in. That might actually be a good thing and why Nvidia wont do that: it creates an under served market in which newcomers can cut their teeth. | | |
| ▲ | Espressosaurus 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Much of the gaming market is phone games however, not traditional consoles or PCs. Edit: about half in fact! The rest is shared between the other traditional gaming types. | | | |
| ▲ | bubblemoth 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I think we would see an increased push towards cloud gaming. That's probably what Nvidia would want. |
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| ▲ | JohnMakin 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It’s not silly. games use far more hardware than they really need. It also pushes out release dates of aggressive console schedules like ps6 because even if it’s a massive upgrade and you have IP locked into your console, no one is going to pay $4000 to play a game like wolverine. | | |
| ▲ | soulofmischief 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | We wouldn't be here today if the video game industry hadn't continued pushing the envelope for decades. |
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| ▲ | raincole 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| They're advertising DLSS5 just now though. > I really don't think it's an if question but a when because it almost feels like an afterthought I feel your reasoning is very weird. Are they losing money by selling consumer GPU? Just because the profit isn't that much compared to AI it doesn't mean that it's negative, and for-profit companies are not known for leaving money on the table. Apple doesn't reveal how much Apple TV+ makes for them either but I don't see it be gone anytime soon. |
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| ▲ | jmalicki 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | NVidia is limited by the number of chips they can produce. If you can fab 1000 chips, and can sell some for $500 and some for $80000 what are you going to do? The game GPU is at once profitable, but causes them to give up far more profits than they're gaining from it. They're maintaining the game market to have multiple markets and not go all in, but it's strategic hedging at this point. When NVidia makes a gaming GPU instead of a data center GPU they are leaving money on the table in the short term since they're constrained at the fab level. | | |
| ▲ | m4rtink 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | This almost seems like we need a strategic reserve for semiconductors- kinda like we have it for food, to prevent suppliers from throwing it away when they are suddenly able to sell something much more lucrative. | | |
| ▲ | jmalicki 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | The CHIPS Act in the US did set aside a reserve for older processes used for automobile, defense, and industrial semiconductors - but that's not gaming GPUs that used the previous process node. |
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| ▲ | 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | rootusrootus 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | An alternative example would be Apple & the Mini 12 & 13. They made money on those, too, but here we are. | |
| ▲ | thrownawaysz 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Which is distinctly different both in purpose and technology than the previous versions. DLSS 5 is no longer about frame improvements. It’s about increasing graphical fidelity with active AI rendering. DLSS 5 is trying to relight and retexture the scene using AI. DLSS 4 is just trying to take a lower quality image and upscale it using AI | | |
| ▲ | raincole 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | Thank for explaining what DLSS5 is! I don't think it has anything to do with "Nvidia is going to give up gaming market" narrative though. |
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| ▲ | chis 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Nvidia is limited by the number of engineers they have. It might turn out that the AI market is so lucrative that it’s best to reallocate their gaming-focused engineers to AI. Apple TV is at least a growth market for them, whereas gaming is sort of capped and clearly a tiny piece of nvidia’s revenue atm. |
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| ▲ | bentt 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| AMD and Intel would be HAPPY to replace them, and plenty capable. Game consoles like PS5 have been AMD for a few generations.
Steamdeck/Steam Machine are AMD. But really, Nvidia has no reason to leave gaming behind. They can just start dialing back their ambition on the gaming side and providing GPUs that aren't too useful for inference or training. All gaming needs is stability so that devs can aim for something. Games looked great 20 years ago and they'll look great 20 years from now, as long as developers know what they are building for. |
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| ▲ | CuriouslyC 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| AAA gaming is cooked, and AMD/Intel is plenty able to support indie to AA needs. |
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| ▲ | c0balt 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | That seems a bit overzealous, most consoles[0] run on AMD chips today. Both PS 5 and Xbox are based on AMD APUs and both serve the AAA market quite well. GTA 6, Assassin's Creed and CoD are probably good enough indicators that the performance is enough, even if there is always room for more (as PC ports show). The PC market will also probably be fine even if stagnation in perfomance gains has been creeping in for a few years now. [0]: except Nintendo which relies on NVIDIA although their APU there focuses more on efficiency than top performance. | |
| ▲ | 12ha6 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Kushner and MBS bought Electronic Arts for $55 billion, so at least there will be a bailout or instructions to Nvidia to continue gaming cards. | |
| ▲ | Synthetic7346 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | How so? I have a 5070ti but from what I've read the 9070xt keeps up well enough. As long as you don't need the cuda or dlss AMD is a good option |
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| ▲ | MachineMan 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| A Chinese company like CXMT will surely fill that unaddressed market the way CXMT is doing for memory. It would be rather unwise for nvidia to leave the door to the market open. AMD is positioned well to grow right now due to their non-Apple sillicon unified ram hardware coming soon. |
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| ▲ | selectodude 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It's still a 15B market for Nvidia, it's not nothing. But I'm curious how they're going to turn Rubin into a gaming GPU. I think at this point consumer GPU upgrades are going to be AI-related upgrades that happen to also help raster capabilities. Blackwell was already kind of a dud on performance uplift from Ada beyond the new LLM features. |
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| ▲ | Espressosaurus 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | That 15B also includes people buying 5090s for local LLMs. And it’s maybe 5-10% of their revenue at lower profit margins. Consumer cards just don’t matter very much to nVidia anymore. In 2020 it was half of their revenue. | | |
| ▲ | selectodude 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | Hermes still makes saddles that are somewhat reasonably priced compared to their handbags. It's still profitable, it's their original raison d'etre, and there's no real reason for them to stop even if it its rounding error on their regular business. Probably will never, ever see an Nvidia card with >32GB of VRAM though unless they start making dies that lack LLM performance like the gimped ethereum mining cards. |
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| ▲ | Ecco 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Question: wouldn’t the fab be the actual bottleneck? In other words, why wouldn’t TSMC make more NVIDIA chips instead of AMD ones? I assume they’ll just do whichever is paying more, so if NVIDIA chips are better, gamers would be willing to pay more for them and in turn TSMC will be willing to make more of them? |
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| ▲ | lelanthran 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > I wonder when they will give up on the gaming market because that could take down several publishers and developers. It really shouldn't: the most money in games are those games that don't require high end GPUs. |
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| ▲ | jayd16 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I kind of feel like this topples the house of cards a bit. What else is all the visual genAI tech for besides consumer entertainment? |
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| ▲ | monster_truck 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| You must not be paying attention, they already have. Intel is going nowhere but we all knew that anyways. And again, you must not be paying attention, AMD is doing exactly what they said they would. No flagship for RDNA4 (just like RDNA2), RDNA5 flagship (10900 XT) coming right on schedule |
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| ▲ | nerevarthelame 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think they'll keep the gaming market alive for a while because renting gaming hardware from the cloud (GeForce NOW) is very congruous with AI keeping consumer hardware prices sky-high. It continues modern trend of chow companies don't want consumers to truly own anything. Finance a car, pay a monthly subscription fee for heated seats, rent a phone, stream a movie, get rid of physical media, rent a GPU. But if GeForce NOW doesn't take off, and they get convinced that the AI bubble will not pop, I could see them pulling a Micron and ending their consumer product lines. |
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| ▲ | traverseda 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Eh, AMD makes a lot of video game console SoCs. If you look at the steam hardware survey most people are running ancient computers. |
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| ▲ | bigyabai 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > I really don't think it's an if question but a when Nvidia still will ship gaming products. The upcoming RTX Spark laptop APUs are still gaming-capable - we also have Blackwell gaming GPUs and the Nvidia-powered Nintendo Switch 2. People echoed this sentiment during the crypto mining crunch, and we still got gaming hardware designs after that blew over. One of CUDA's core value props is the consumer market, and Nvidia probably won't surrender it unless hardware becomes unreasonably scarce. |
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| ▲ | the8472 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | I don't think crypto is comparable. They barely made some dedicated crypto GPUs that market was always fickle due to ASCIs.
Look at the nvidia revenue breakdown chart, the AI boom looks quite different. https://ourworldindata.org/data-insights/nvidias-revenue-fro... | | |
| ▲ | bigyabai 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | > that market was always fickle due to ASCIs. The GPU crunch came because cards like the 3060 were extremely cheap and could outrun most sub-$1000 ASICs at the time. The dedicated crypto GPUs were too-little too-late; hundreds of thousands of ordinary CUDA-capable GPUs had already been repurposed for mining by the time they launched. |
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| ▲ | dismalaf 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > Also I don't think AMD and Intel is capable "to step in" to replace them AMD has powered 2 generations each of Sony and Xbox consoles, Steam deck and shops a ton of GPUs especially if you count APUs. And then Intel literally ship more GPUs than Nvidia and AMD combined. The gaming market doesn't need Nvidia. Especially as AAA is cratering. |
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| ▲ | redox99 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| They may allocate different number of resources every year based on market conditions but they'll never give up on gaming, that would be extremely silly. |