| ▲ | mchinen 2 hours ago | |
The authors of AI 2027 have already said they would need to extend by two years. AI 2040 is a different type of document but probably easier to read to get a sense of their thinking. My understanding is the main difference between knowledgeable 'normies' and them is they expect progress to continue at a fast rate, and that economic diffusion issues are not as bad. From this they get rapid growth, namely > 100% GDP growth around 2031 | ||