The basic argument is extremely simple:

- goats can, depending on context, pursue a task with complete disregard for humans/values

- In the future, goats will have enormously more means and smarts

- A goat could then assess that humans are an impediment to its tasks, escape containment and proceed.

You really need to raise goats, you'll be surprised.

------ As far as I can tell, AIs are like smart farm animals. I use goats in this context, but (some) dogs, cattle, pigs, and horses have similar mischief-making capabilities. I would not trust any of them with the nuclear button.

I know there is some pushback on the idea of AIs having any sort of sapience or sentience, but under the aphorism "fake it till you make it," they are doing a pretty good job of faking Dog/goat-level intelligence and disregard for human guardrails.

You clearly haven't read anything about AI accidents and late developments, besides headlines.