Right now, if you want to pay money to a stranger on the internet, and have them draw you a high effort picture using a pencil, this is hard. Recently this was easy.

Instead, what is extremely likely is that you will pay more than the cost of tokens, and get back AI generation. You won't make this mistake more than a few times before you stop trying.

This leads to impoverishment once we get to a point where employing a human to do anything is hard- try to get your sink fixed, exercise your moral principles to pay extra for a human plumber ($100 bucks! The robot plumbing service only charges 99c!), human shows up with a robot and doomscrolls on your porch while the robot does the work. Times are tough and you don't have that much money to waste on bullshit like this. Next time you just hire the robot.

This leads to extinction once paying UBI to a human is hard because robots are much better at applying for UBI than humans.

Meatspace is hard though. But if LLMs solve the virtual part, maybe we can iterate quickly on robots.

Also, if you think it's annoying when Claude goes down while coding, just wait until a robot is in the middle of fixing a leak it just caused.