Exactly spot on.

Why are people so stupid?

E.g. take the radiology example. In the past people would not have been sent to a radiologist due to resource constraints.

But because of AI you now more capacity - therefore there is an INCREASE in radiology requests.

And this is going to be the common theme - there are lots of things that people are doing right now has an implicit constraint. AI will unlock new capacity so we will see MORE of it -> this will actually create a bizarre scenario of a labour shortage in many respects.

I know that's not what Amodei and Altman want to hear but... ha.

THis is why people are so bad at predictions - they look at one variable move and forget the rest / many 'unknowns' they did not foresee.