> humanoid robots are decades away

I think the world has gone too crazy to make any such claim. They could be decades away, they could be a year away.

Remember that it doesn't have to be necessarily better than a human, it just needs to make economical sense. A robot that fails 20% of the time but costs 0.10$/h to run beats a person for many tasks.

"humanoid" robots are as relevant to commercial robotics as AGI to LLM, that is, not at all. As long as they can move on wheels and operate 2 hands (doesn't matter how many fingers), the application is huge already.

Decades? Or less than a decade?

Less than a decade with 99.999% certainty.