One thing the doom debate tends to skip: the failures that hurt people right now are boring, not exotic. I spend my time probing AI systems that are already deployed and talking to real users, and the actual failure modes are mundane - a system that reassures when it should escalate, follows its script while the situation changes, sounds confident the whole way through. No superintelligence required, just an ordinary model given authority and no tripwires. If the conversation centered on the systems already in production instead of hypothetical future ones, a lot of the disagreement about timelines would matter less. The dangerous stuff is already here; it's just unglamorous.