> What will prevent LLMs from designing robot control circuitry and participating in increase of chip production/design and physical experimentation?

Money, regulations, EUV machine lead-times, global helium supply, reality ...

It's funny that we've got the Dwarkesh contingent saying that GPUs will become infinitely expensive, and now another contingent saying that they will become infinitely abundant.

Even if compute were free, and/or the AI was so smart that it picked the right experiments to run every time ("make no mistakes"), you still have to actually train the model, which takes months, and if model Ver. N+1 depends on model Ver. N, then it's iterative regardless of how much compute you have.

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red75prime 29 minutes ago | parent [-]

Who's saying that compute will become infinitely abundant? "Singularity" is just a way of saying that known models begin to give absurd predictions. Anyway, intelligence is a way of overcoming obstacles. 10 million tonnes of helium is a nice head start and retraining models from scratch is not guaranteed to last forever.

	▲	HarHarVeryFunny 14 minutes ago \| parent \| next [-]
		AFAIK the notion of a/the technological "singularity" is a point in time where technology is building upon itself (RSI!) so fast, at an ever increasing pace, that the speed of change effectively becomes infinite and incomprehensible to humans. The word "singularity" is presumably coming from math or space, like a black hole singularity where matter becomes infinitely dense and the known laws of physics break down.
	▲	HarHarVeryFunny 25 minutes ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		> 10 million tonnes of helium is a nice head start Yeah, but then you need to refine it to 99.9999% purity, to be able to use it.