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davmre 2 hours ago

> a team of agents completed the proof in a little under two weeks, consuming about six billion output tokens from a general-purpose internal research model roughly comparable to Claude Fable 5.1.

At $50/M output tokens, this would have cost on the order of $300k (plus a bit for input/prefill tokens) at API rates.

3192987 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

And human salaries for those who worked on the prover harness etc. which isn't just standard Fable.

It also uses Prove2Me, which uses a graph like previous automated theorem provers. A fact that LLM hawks have categorically denied here before, with opposition naturally flagged.

Now they have it in writing.

tonyarkles 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

But also achievable on a $150/mo (CAD) Max 5 subscription (I currently have 11.6B tokens in the last 30 days) according to /usage. It doesn’t break down input vs. output tokens as far as I can tell.

wolttam 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

~10B tokens a month is pretty typical overall input/output usage from my own experience and other developer accounts I've seen

fspeech an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's 6B output tokens, as stated by the blog post.

dist-epoch 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

When writing software with Codex 95+% of tokens are cache, I would assume the same in your case (if you also used it for coding).

jensgk 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What would it cost to make a team of mathematicians do the same?

nearbuy 14 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

The Kevin Buzzard post linked at the top says they budgeted £1M over 5 years for a smaller proof.

dist-epoch 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

More importantly how many years it would take.

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