> As soon as the abilities of the "chatbots" near that of the average human (a point that we are fast approaching if we haven't reached it already)

That is entirely not clear. Besides, these tools are limited to producing text and software. There is indeed a lot of employment predicated on producing a bloated output of text and software but this is not existential. Incentives will shift behavior.

But the idea that LLM based 'agents' will (1) be on par with a human using a computer, and (2) disruptively displace the workforce, well that's just not what we're seeing. Unemployment is down across the board, and these tools might be very useful but they are not displaying autonomous intelligence at all.

> these tools are limited to producing text and software

Oh good, so they can't produce images or do graphic design work. Thus it follows that movies being sequences of images are obviously completely safe. And since they can't synthesize sounds obviously things like voice acting, call center jobs, and certainly music production are entirely off the table. And it sure is a good thing they can't accept video and audio streams as input because otherwise we might need to worry about their application to robotics and all the trade jobs that could eventually be automated as a result. But those are 100% immune thanks to the aforementioned limitations. Yeah. Definitely. /s

> LLM based 'agents' will (1) be on par with a human using a computer

They are already substantially more capable when it comes to writing exploits and decompiling binaries than the vast majority of professionals. Sure a lot of that is raw persistence as opposed to novel reasoning but when it comes to employment prospects the "how" doesn't matter only the "what".

> disruptively displace the workforce, well that's just not what we're seeing

You would deny that we fast approach a cliff on the basis that we are not yet in free fall? Surely you see how absurd that is?