It's not unrealistic. Several Chinese companies seem to be close behind. People thought they would never catch up to the US car industry and now look what happened.

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cubefox an hour ago | parent | next [-]

To the best of our knowledge, these Chinese companies rely on distillation of frontier models by OpenAI and Anthropic, which isn't a method available at the frontier itself.

	▲	disgruntledphd2 an hour ago \| parent [-]
		I'm not really convinced that there's much secret sauce here, all the methods and data are public, the only real difference is how much compute it takes.

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gmueckl 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Frankly, the US car industry hasn't set the bar very high. They were not very innovative in the last couple of decades. I think the European industry is a better benchmark, and even then the result is pretty clear.