| ▲ | mustaphah 7 hours ago | |
I don't like Ed, but it seems that Luu spends far more attention documenting failed predictions than checking other predictions that might have been correct. | ||
| ▲ | BeetleB 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | |
Telling me that quite a few of Zitron's predictions turned out to be accurate, while many others were completely off base, means he's throwing darts on a dartboard. Why should I listen to him? I'm sure I can make a lot of accurate predictions. It doesn't mean I'm worth listening to, if people can't distinguish the accurate from the inaccurate in the moment. Reminds me of a tactic I've seen often amongst both critics and shills on fads. An OpenClaw fanatic on Youtube comes to mind. He makes opposing claims in different videos. One of them has to turn out to be true, and he trumpets his successes ("Look, I predicted this!"). Only a few notice he also predicted the opposite. Just look at the other thread about Zitron and his Enron comparisons. | ||
| ▲ | enraged_camel 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | |
What predictions have Ed made that were correct? And how do they weigh against the incorrect ones, in terms of both quantity and quality? That's relevant because if you make a thousand predictions, a few of them might turn out to be true. That doesn't mean you're good at making accurate predictions. | ||