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madaxe_again a day ago

It took the better part of a century for people to go from “hey look a steam engine” to “why don’t we put it on wheels?”.

Electricity took about half that time, 50 years, to go from “hey look a motor” to “why don’t we put them everywhere and build power grids?”

TV took 25 years from patent to mass market adoption.

The internet, 15 years from lynx to iPhone.

Google published the transformer architecture in 2017. We are currently at “oh hey a talking computer”.

pixl97 21 hours ago | parent [-]

Oh, based on the METR report we're beyond a talking computer. Like most technology it's just not spread evenly.

madaxe_again 18 hours ago | parent [-]

We absolutely are - but we’re still at the “weirdo factory owner installs experimental electric motor” stage. You look at what’s going on in robotics, look at GROOT/Isaac, and the circle closes quite neatly. World’s going to change in ways we can barely even imagine, no more than someone in 1720 could imagine the buffet car on an intercity express train.