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inigyou 2 days ago

I don't know if "theoretically" is good enough here. The theory hasn't really been tested or proven. It's more of a hypothesis, and an ideologically driven one at that.

everforward 14 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm not positing that as a moral good or bad. It's possible for stock market gambling to be bad for society but have better price discovery, in the same way that dictatorships are bad but tend to have faster response times to events.

My theory is mostly that "gambling" seems like it inherently means "buying stocks based on something other than their concrete value". More gambling means stocks drift further from their "true value", which means a higher payout for correcting them back to what their price should actually be.

The whole thing does get very fuzzy because of the "market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent" aspect. It's not enough to know what the correct price is, you have to know when other people will realize that as well, or else convince people that your price is "correct".