Perhaps an analogy to Moore's law?

Bitter lesson #1: don't waste time optimizing code when a faster processor is around the corner.

What countered it: Moore's law stopped working.

Bitter lesson #2 similarly relies on scaling laws that might have diminishing returns wrt model runtime vs intelligence. Runtime matters for turnaround on the problem you're solving.

Moore's Law has nothing to do with processors getting faster. Dennard scaling stopped working but Moore just slowed somewhat, not stopped.