From the author:

"OpenAI’s charter defines AGI as “highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work.” Its leaders won’t quite declare they’ve reached that threshold. But they no longer speak about it as a distant abstraction. Chief research officer Mark Chen estimated OpenAI is “80% of the way” to AGI. Brockman said that viewed from two years in the future, this may be remembered as the moment AGI was created. Altman told me that OpenAI was “not quite yet” there, but that by the end of the year the company would have an internal system he would call AGI."

When will that internal system make it out to the public? Or should it ever be released to the public is probably the better question...

Let us make it clear: "outperforming humans at most economically valuable work" is not AGI. AGI is when you implemented Intelligence (what intelligent people call "intelligence").

One example (of the many given many times) remains "adherence to truth": to get to the AGI they must have overcome the delioriousness issue - the outputs cannot be delirious. And another thing: if you can implement general Intelligence, you will also be able to achieve /optimized/ intelligence... As in: "here are all the theorems, in lean form, bringing to the output".

I mean Open AI has the incentive and history of hyping it up. And the general rule the last 20% would take the same amount of time as they got the first 80%.

But having said that, it is getting ridiculously good and plenty of people find enough value out of AI as of today. In terms of hardware we already knew what the next 3 to 4 years would be like. There seems to be enough work on optimisation to further enhance the model.