I agree with the thesis. Development is moving towards intent and alignment and clear understanding of needs. These have always been important but in a future where code is almost free, customers will be more demanding about having their needs met, fast.

Our SaaS company is making plans to move towards bespoke development, which until now has been far too costly for most customers to accept. It also violates the multi-tenant cost/business model, so we're scrambling to figure out what hosting and ops and support agreements look like in a bespoke future.

The implications here go well beyond development. I'm seeing pretty massive changes happening in finance, consulting, HR, accounting, law, design, architecture, health, and everything else. When the value of intelligence is effectively zero, how are humans supposed to market and sell themselves in the job market? Some white collar people might try to move into physical jobs for job security, but it will only take a fraction of white collar workers to migrate to crater wages there too.

We're not ready for this. Socially, economically, and politically. Look at how we treated middle Americans who lost their manufacturing jobs when they were offshored to China. Hillary Clinton famously laughed at them and told them to "learn to code." We'll watch jobs and industries disappear while clinging to our own and praying that it's not us today.

UBI is going to be inevitable soon, but it's also woefully insufficient. Giving a developer who used to earn $100k $20k per year UBI isn't going to placate their white hot rage at the social contract being broken. We're going to need universal high income, and paying for that is going to be such a radical social change that I worry voters won't accept it until things are dire.

The time has long passed since the “inevitable” things should have come into existence, for example universal basic housing. What happened instead of the advent of it is something to behold: somehow instead of supply being provisioned in response to demand, we simply changed the excess demand into an externality. Now there’s been a lot of “rage” about this, but it hasn’t been effectual. We still have plenty of homelessness right now and no particular mechanism to control it. We may not be ready for this change, but that doesn’t mean we will accept the change instead of simply pretending the problem never existed and should never exist, if everyone just behaved right.